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ICBW Sports Top 5 NFL MVP Candidates

ICBW Sports NFL MVP Top 5 — Week 10: Burrow Takes the Lead

November 15, 2026•4 min read

Nine weeks are in the books, Thursday night is done, and the MVP race has a new man in front. Joe Burrow didn't just climb to the top of this list — he sprinted there. But this race is far from settled: two 7-1 teams both have a quarterback with a real claim, the league's passing-yards leader is right behind them, and the best receiver in football is forcing his way into a quarterback conversation. Here is the ICBW Top 5, scored from a blank slate on production, efficiency, team record, availability, and signature wins.

1. Joe Burrow, QB, Cincinnati Bengals (6-2)

2,386 passing yards • 23 passing TDs • 114.8 passer rating • 26 total TDs

Burrow leads the NFL in passing touchdowns, completion rate (74.0 percent), and passer rating. Over Cincinnati's four-game winning streak he has thrown 16 touchdown passes and 1,215 yards, capping Week 9 with a 24-of-29, 271-yard, three-touchdown afternoon — plus a rushing score — in a 34-17 win over Atlanta in Madrid. The Bengals are 6-2, Burrow has started every game, and right now he is the most efficient quarterback in the league. Sunday night brings the biggest test yet: Pittsburgh visits Cincinnati.

2. Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills (7-1)

2,027 passing yards • 12 passing TDs • 285 rushing yards • 9 rushing TDs • 21 total TDs

Allen held this race for most of the fall — Burrow simply passed him. The Bills are 7-1, and Allen is still the league's most unusual weapon: a quarterback who is also his team's short-yardage hammer, with nine rushing touchdowns to go with 12 through the air. Monday night he closed Week 9 by beating Minnesota 23-6. The passing numbers trail Burrow's, and that is the gap.

3. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers (7-1)

1,980 passing yards • 17 passing TDs • 109.8 passer rating • 19 total TDs

Purdy is the quietest name in this top three. He leads all quarterbacks in EPA per play, owns a 109.8 passer rating, and the 49ers are 7-1. Week 9: 17-of-25 for 232 yards and two touchdowns, plus 40 rushing yards and a score, in a 38-17 rout of Las Vegas. On a per-play basis, nobody at the position has been better — and his team keeps winning.

4. Jordan Love, QB, Green Bay Packers (6-3)

2,618 passing yards • 19 passing TDs • 97.9 passer rating

Love leads the NFL in passing yards, and he earned this spot with Week 9's loudest performance: 23-of-29 for 372 yards and three touchdowns without an interception in a 45-27 win at New England. He has thrown multiple touchdowns in all nine starts, dragging a banged-up Packers roster from 1-2 to 6-3. The record is the one thing holding him back — Green Bay has one more loss than the three teams above him, and the passer rating trails the top three.

5. Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks (5-4)

71 receptions • 1,036 receiving yards • 9 receiving touchdowns

This list is not quarterbacks-only, and Smith-Njigba is the reason why. He leads the NFL in receiving yards and touchdowns, sits second in catches, and averages 115.1 yards per game. Seven of his nine games this season have gone for 100-plus yards, and his Week 2 line against Arizona — 155 yards and three touchdowns — is one of the best individual games of the year. Seattle is 5-4, and that record is the only thing keeping him from climbing higher.

Just outside the five

Jahmyr Gibbs is the closest call. Detroit's running back has 847 rushing yards and 285 receiving yards for 1,132 scrimmage yards and 11 total touchdowns, and the Lions are 6-2. He is third in the league in rushing yards, and that is the difference: Smith-Njigba leads his position outright; Gibbs doesn't. Trevor Lawrence (1,932 yards, 18 touchdowns, four interceptions, Jaguars 6-2) is right there too after Jacksonville's 33-10 win at Baltimore. And Drake Maye owns the league's best record at 9-2 after New England's 27-14 win over the Jets on Thursday night — but he is tied for the league lead with 11 interceptions. The wins are real. The turnovers are too.

What to watch in Week 10

The race gets its next big data point Sunday night, when Pittsburgh visits Cincinnati. A win over the 6-2 Steelers would be the signature victory this race is still missing. Detroit and New England meet in Munich on Sunday morning, and Seattle visits Las Vegas that afternoon — Gibbs and Smith-Njigba both get a stage. Nine weeks down, eight to go. The lead just changed hands. It will change again.


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